Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Paul 54.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Paul
Kesler
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.9%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Paul
Kesler
Home
52.7% (2,412)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Paul
Kesler
P1
53.9%
56.5%
P2
51.0%
55.9%
P3
52.0%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%