Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Teravainen 45.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 53.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 84.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 70.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Paul
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paul
Teravainen
Last 5: Paul 3-2 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Paul
Teravainen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Teravainen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Teravainen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
45.5% (1,211)
+7.0%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
41.8% (170)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
40.5% (84)
+6.2%
On power play, Paul has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Paul shoots left. Teravainen is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (898).
Home / Away
Paul
Teravainen
Home
52.7% (2,412)
47.2% (741)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
42.3% (724)
By Period
Paul
Teravainen
P1
53.9%
47.7%
P2
51.0%
42.5%
P3
52.0%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
29.2%
Final 5 min
51.4%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |