Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Teravainen 48.3% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 51.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 84.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Paul
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paul
Teravainen
Last 5: Paul 3-2 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Paul
Teravainen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Teravainen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Teravainen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
46.7% (107)
+6.4%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
47.8% (23)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
50.0% (10)
+8.0%
On power play, Paul has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Paul shoots left. Teravainen is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Paul
Teravainen
Home
56.0% (466)
50.9% (57)
Away
52.7% (512)
44.6% (83)
By Period
Paul
Teravainen
P1
57.2%
54.2%
P2
54.9%
40.8%
P3
51.5%
43.8%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |