Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Paul 56.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 53.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Paul
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
58.5% (135)
-5.3%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
80.0% (5)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Paul shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Paul
Karlsson
Home
54.6% (183)
63.7% (91)
Away
53.6% (233)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Paul
Karlsson
P1
56.3%
54.4%
P2
54.8%
66.7%
P3
52.4%
51.9%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%