Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sharangovich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Sharangovich 41.5% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 78.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 92.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 85.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Paul
Sharangovich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paul
Sharangovich
Last 5: Paul 4-1 Sharangovich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharangovich
0
1
Paul
Sharangovich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Sharangovich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Sharangovich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Sharangovich
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
38.1% (291)
+15.0%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
43.8% (16)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
44.1% (34)
+13.9%
On even strength, Paul has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharangovich shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Paul shoots left. Sharangovich is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Paul
Sharangovich
Home
56.0% (466)
46.8% (171)
Away
52.7% (512)
31.2% (170)
By Period
Paul
Sharangovich
P1
57.2%
37.3%
P2
54.9%
42.2%
P3
51.5%
37.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
34.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Sharangovich
44.0%▲
39.0%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Yegor Sharangovich |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Nick Paul |