Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 75.7%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 64.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 75.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Horvat
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Schmaltz
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Horvat
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
3
Horvat
Schmaltz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Horvat
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
48.1% (268)
+10.5%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
50.5% (91)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
58.8% (17)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Horvat
Schmaltz
Home
59.2% (684)
49.0% (206)
Away
57.0% (635)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Horvat
Schmaltz
P1
57.9%
53.6%
P2
55.4%
46.2%
P3
61.5%
50.4%
OT
53.8%
16.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |