Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Schmaltz 40.4% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 93.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 51.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 81.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Richardson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richardson
Schmaltz
Last 5: Richardson 1-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Richardson
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Richardson
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Richardson
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
37.6% (237)
+18.5%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
32.5% (40)
+30.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (210)
50.0% (4)
-1.0%
On power play, Richardson has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Richardson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Richardson shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Richardson
Schmaltz
Home
55.3% (590)
42.6% (129)
Away
54.4% (461)
32.2% (152)
By Period
Richardson
Schmaltz
P1
56.2%
38.8%
P2
56.4%
29.4%
P3
51.8%
42.2%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
37.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |