Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 53.9% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 66.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 95.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 87.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Larsson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Larsson
Schmaltz
Last 5: Larsson 5-0 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (509)
39.5% (658)
+15.3%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
41.3% (92)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (119)
45.1% (51)
+9.5%
On even strength, Larsson has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Larsson is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Larsson shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Larsson
Schmaltz
Home
57.5% (301)
40.8% (424)
Away
51.8% (338)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Larsson
Schmaltz
P1
54.8%
38.4%
P2
49.1%
40.7%
P3
60.0%
41.0%
Final 5 min
60.4%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |