Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Schmaltz 36.0% (+24.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 70.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 96.1%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 94.9%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 95.4%
95.4%
4.6%
Mitchell
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mitchell
Schmaltz
Last 5: Mitchell 4-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
29.6% (253)
+26.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
50.0% (18)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
0.0% (1)
+51.2%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Mitchell is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Mitchell shoots left. Schmaltz is 28.4% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Schmaltz
Home
61.9% (265)
33.1% (139)
Away
49.1% (273)
28.6% (133)
By Period
Mitchell
Schmaltz
P1
54.9%
28.8%
P2
56.8%
31.7%
P3
54.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.9%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
30.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | John Mitchell |