Justin Hryckowian vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hryckowian on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 54.6% vs Schmaltz 47.0% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 64.4%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 78.8%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 58.3%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Last 7: Hryckowian 4-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
4
0
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (214)
46.3% (654)
+13.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
47.3% (110)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
50.0% (24)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Hryckowian is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Hryckowian shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Home
58.1% (129)
45.6% (397)
Away
54.6% (119)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
P1
49.3%
40.9%
P2
65.4%
47.8%
P3
52.2%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
52.0%▼
56.0%
56.5%
Schmaltz
50.0%▲
45.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |