Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Hischier 54.9% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 77.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 57.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 58.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Schmaltz
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Schmaltz
Hischier
Last 9: Schmaltz 3-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
0
Schmaltz
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Schmaltz
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Schmaltz
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
55.0% (1,107)
-9.1%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
63.1% (252)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
43.6% (149)
+6.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hischier
Home
44.7% (409)
56.5% (763)
Away
47.6% (391)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hischier
P1
40.3%
56.0%
P2
47.6%
57.6%
P3
51.0%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |