Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 80.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 82.2%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 55.5%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
45.0% (500)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
54.5% (22)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
46.0% (50)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Schmaltz shoots right. Sundqvist is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Home
49.0% (206)
45.5% (255)
Away
49.4% (170)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
P1
53.6%
40.9%
P2
46.2%
46.9%
P3
50.4%
48.4%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |