Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Byfield 45.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 82.9%
Defensive zone
Byfield 73.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.7%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Schmaltz
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Schmaltz
Byfield
Last 10: Schmaltz 2-8 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Schmaltz
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
3
Schmaltz
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
5
Schmaltz
Byfield
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
46.5% (759)
-0.6%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
50.0% (58)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
35.1% (148)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Schmaltz shoots right. Byfield is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Byfield
Home
44.7% (409)
46.2% (442)
Away
47.6% (391)
44.0% (523)
By Period
Schmaltz
Byfield
P1
40.3%
44.1%
P2
47.6%
43.5%
P3
51.0%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
39.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |