Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Vrbata shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Vrbata 40.9% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Vrbata 52.6%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 60.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Schmaltz
Vrbata
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Vrbata
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
34.2% (184)
+7.0%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
45.2% (42)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
50.0% (14)
-2.2%
On even strength, Schmaltz has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vrbata shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Vrbata is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Vrbata
Home
42.7% (2,089)
32.3% (124)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
42.2% (116)
By Period
Schmaltz
Vrbata
P1
41.1%
31.0%
P2
42.9%
38.5%
P3
43.0%
43.8%
OT
42.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Vrbata
30.0%▼
36.0%
37.1%