Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Thomas 51.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 65.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 80.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 66.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Schmaltz
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Schmaltz
Thomas
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
1
Schmaltz
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
2
Schmaltz
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Schmaltz
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
50.1% (615)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
62.2% (98)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
52.6% (114)
-2.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schmaltz shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Thomas
Home
44.7% (409)
51.9% (374)
Away
47.6% (391)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Schmaltz
Thomas
P1
40.3%
49.2%
P2
47.6%
55.3%
P3
51.0%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |