Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Thomas 54.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 71.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Schmaltz
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schmaltz
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Schmaltz
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
55.3% (990)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
54.2% (190)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
52.5% (158)
+6.3%
On even strength, Thomas has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Schmaltz shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Thomas
Home
49.0% (206)
55.1% (690)
Away
49.4% (170)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Schmaltz
Thomas
P1
53.6%
55.5%
P2
46.2%
56.4%
P3
50.4%
51.5%
OT
16.7%
69.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |