Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Donato 48.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 59.2%
Defensive zone
Donato 65.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Schmaltz
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Schmaltz
Donato
Last 10: Schmaltz 6-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schmaltz
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
2
Schmaltz
Donato
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
48.1% (258)
-2.2%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
43.2% (37)
+3.6%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Schmaltz shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Donato
Home
44.7% (409)
45.8% (142)
Away
47.6% (391)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Schmaltz
Donato
P1
40.3%
48.1%
P2
47.6%
46.6%
P3
51.0%
46.8%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |