Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Donato 44.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 56.3%
Defensive zone
Donato 60.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 58.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Schmaltz
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Schmaltz
Donato
Last 10: Schmaltz 6-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
6
3
Schmaltz
Donato
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
3
Schmaltz
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
2
Schmaltz
Donato
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
44.2% (1,179)
-3.0%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
46.3% (246)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
36.4% (11)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Schmaltz shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Donato
Home
42.7% (2,089)
47.2% (743)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Schmaltz
Donato
P1
41.1%
43.4%
P2
42.9%
45.1%
P3
43.0%
44.4%
OT
42.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |