Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Greene 45.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 88.4%
Defensive zone
Greene 64.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 59.3%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Schmaltz
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schmaltz
Greene
Last 5: Schmaltz 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
1
Schmaltz
Greene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
44.1% (506)
+1.8%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
47.5% (59)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
43.6% (149)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schmaltz shoots right. Greene is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Greene
Home
44.7% (409)
47.4% (382)
Away
47.6% (391)
40.7% (332)
By Period
Schmaltz
Greene
P1
40.3%
47.2%
P2
47.6%
39.0%
P3
51.0%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |