Scouting Report
Ryan Greene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Greene 44.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.1%
Defensive zone
Greene 82.8%
Neutral zone
Greene 66.9%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Schmaltz
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schmaltz
Greene
Last 5: Schmaltz 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
1
Schmaltz
Greene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
43.7% (524)
-2.5%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
47.5% (59)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
43.6% (149)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Greene is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Greene
Home
42.7% (2,089)
47.4% (382)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Schmaltz
Greene
P1
41.1%
46.4%
P2
42.9%
38.9%
P3
43.0%
47.0%
OT
42.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |