Scouting Report
Ryan Reaves holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reaves shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Reaves 45.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 53.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 59.9%
Neutral zone
Reaves 52.8%
Result
Ryan Reaves favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Schmaltz
Reaves
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schmaltz
Reaves
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Reaves
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Reaves
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
43.8% (217)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
36.8% (19)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
50.0% (2)
-2.2%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reaves shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Reaves is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Reaves
Home
42.7% (2,089)
46.8% (111)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
40.2% (127)
By Period
Schmaltz
Reaves
P1
41.1%
41.9%
P2
42.9%
40.4%
P3
43.0%
49.2%
Final 5 min
42.2%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Reaves
34.0%▼
42.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Ryan Reaves |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |