Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Laughton 56.0% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.8%
Defensive zone
Laughton 95.0%
Neutral zone
Laughton 70.8%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Schmaltz
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schmaltz
Laughton
Last 5: Schmaltz 3-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
0
Schmaltz
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Schmaltz
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
55.2% (455)
-9.3%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
75.0% (4)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
62.8% (137)
-12.8%
On power play, Laughton has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Schmaltz shoots right. Laughton is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Laughton
Home
44.7% (409)
57.4% (263)
Away
47.6% (391)
56.8% (333)
By Period
Schmaltz
Laughton
P1
40.3%
55.3%
P2
47.6%
61.4%
P3
51.0%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |