Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 47.0% vs Crosby 55.3% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 80.6%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 79.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 81.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Schmaltz
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Schmaltz
Crosby
Last 5: Schmaltz 0-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Schmaltz
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Schmaltz
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Schmaltz
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (654)
53.5% (961)
-7.2%
Power Play
47.3% (110)
64.1% (237)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
64.3% (14)
-14.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Schmaltz shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Crosby
Home
45.6% (397)
56.4% (622)
Away
47.6% (391)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Schmaltz
Crosby
P1
40.9%
56.0%
P2
47.8%
52.6%
P3
51.6%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
40.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
50.0%▲
45.5%
46.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |