Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Crosby 56.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 64.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 68.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Schmaltz
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Schmaltz
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Schmaltz
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
56.2% (1,451)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
61.4% (293)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
55.3% (38)
+3.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Crosby
Home
49.0% (206)
59.1% (939)
Away
49.4% (170)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Schmaltz
Crosby
P1
53.6%
54.9%
P2
46.2%
60.8%
P3
50.4%
55.4%
OT
16.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
39.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |