Scouting Report
Tanner Fritz holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fritz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Fritz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 41.2% vs Fritz 46.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.2%
Defensive zone
Fritz 54.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Schmaltz
Fritz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Schmaltz
Fritz
Last 5: Schmaltz 2-3 Fritz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fritz
1
2
Schmaltz
Fritz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Fritz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Fritz
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (658)
44.1% (102)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (51)
33.3% (6)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fritz shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Schmaltz shoots right. Fritz is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Fritz
Home
40.8% (424)
46.8% (47)
Away
39.3% (377)
41.0% (61)
By Period
Schmaltz
Fritz
P1
38.4%
41.9%
P2
40.7%
54.5%
P3
41.0%
34.9%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Fritz
42.0%▬
43.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |