Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.3% vs 43.0%). Look for Fritz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Fritz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Fritz 45.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 74.2%
Defensive zone
Fritz 64.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.5%
Result
Tanner Fritz favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Schmaltz
Fritz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Schmaltz
Fritz
Last 5: Schmaltz 2-3 Fritz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fritz
1
2
Schmaltz
Fritz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Fritz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Fritz
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
43.4% (143)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
33.3% (6)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fritz shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Fritz is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Fritz
Home
42.7% (2,089)
48.5% (68)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
38.3% (81)
By Period
Schmaltz
Fritz
P1
41.1%
43.2%
P2
42.9%
49.0%
P3
43.0%
36.4%
OT
42.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Fritz
42.0%▬
43.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Tanner Fritz |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |