Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Nosek 51.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 71.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 61.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Schmaltz
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schmaltz
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Schmaltz
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
54.4% (215)
-15.9%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
0.0% (1)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
23.5% (17)
+1.5%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nosek
Home
38.0% (184)
50.4% (127)
Away
43.5% (216)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nosek
P1
40.3%
51.4%
P2
39.9%
51.3%
P3
40.7%
53.2%
Final 5 min
41.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |