Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 44.0% vs Jost 47.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 69.2%
Defensive zone
Jost 69.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.0%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Schmaltz
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Schmaltz
Jost
Last 10: Schmaltz 5-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
1
Schmaltz
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
4
Schmaltz
Jost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
2
Schmaltz
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (485)
47.7% (287)
-5.2%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
62.5% (8)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.2% (51)
+60.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +60.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Schmaltz shoots right. Jost is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Jost
Home
45.0% (258)
49.5% (190)
Away
40.9% (279)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Schmaltz
Jost
P1
47.0%
43.2%
P2
42.7%
52.5%
P3
38.4%
44.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |