Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Jost 45.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 56.4%
Defensive zone
Jost 69.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 56.1%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Schmaltz
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Schmaltz
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
43.3% (194)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
25.0% (8)
+0.0%
On even strength, Jost has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Jost is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Jost
Home
38.0% (184)
39.7% (78)
Away
43.5% (216)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Schmaltz
Jost
P1
40.3%
40.5%
P2
39.9%
43.2%
P3
40.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
41.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |