Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Spaling 46.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 77.1%
Defensive zone
Shaw 58.1%
Neutral zone
Shaw 62.8%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Shaw
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Shaw
Spaling
Last 10: Shaw 3-7 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
Spaling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
3
Shaw
Spaling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
4
Shaw
Spaling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
48.4% (419)
-4.0%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
30.0% (10)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
32.1% (53)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Spaling is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Shaw
Spaling
Home
45.5% (224)
52.2% (251)
Away
42.5% (233)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Shaw
Spaling
P1
39.1%
40.6%
P2
41.7%
43.9%
P3
50.3%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |