Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Spaling 50.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 60.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 57.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 60.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Backes
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Backes
Spaling
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Spaling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
5
Backes
Spaling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
4
Backes
Spaling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
49.7% (756)
-0.6%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
35.3% (17)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
55.0% (120)
-9.8%
On power play, Backes has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Spaling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Home / Away
Backes
Spaling
Home
48.1% (690)
52.1% (476)
Away
49.2% (663)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Backes
Spaling
P1
49.0%
50.4%
P2
50.2%
51.3%
P3
47.5%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |