Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. MacKenzie wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs Spaling 50.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 68.6%
Defensive zone
Spaling 72.3%
Neutral zone
Spaling 51.7%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
MacKenzie
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKenzie
Spaling
Last 6: MacKenzie 2-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
2
MacKenzie
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
51.6% (353)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
50.0% (8)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
49.3% (136)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (323).
MacKenzie shoots left. Spaling is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Spaling
Home
51.7% (232)
49.2% (260)
Away
52.3% (241)
52.7% (237)
By Period
MacKenzie
Spaling
P1
47.9%
55.2%
P2
51.8%
49.7%
P3
55.4%
47.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |