Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 50.9% vs Spaling 50.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 52.9%
Defensive zone
Spaling 58.8%
Neutral zone
Spaling 50.9%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Josefson
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Josefson
Spaling
Last 6: Josefson 4-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
1
Josefson
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (301)
49.7% (756)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
35.3% (17)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (39)
55.0% (120)
-8.8%
On power play, Josefson has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Josefson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Josefson shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Josefson
Spaling
Home
53.7% (216)
52.1% (476)
Away
47.1% (138)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Josefson
Spaling
P1
51.9%
50.4%
P2
50.8%
51.3%
P3
50.4%
48.5%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |