Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Toews wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.0% vs Spaling 46.9% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 22-8 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 96.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 88.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Toews
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
8
(30 meetings)
22
8
Toews
Spaling
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Spaling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
2
Toews
Spaling
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
13
5
Toews
Spaling
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (736)
48.4% (419)
+8.9%
Power Play
71.4% (133)
30.0% (10)
+41.4%
Penalty Kill
66.1% (62)
32.1% (53)
+34.0%
On power play, Toews has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Toews shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Toews
Spaling
Home
61.0% (479)
52.2% (251)
Away
58.8% (454)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Toews
Spaling
P1
61.3%
40.6%
P2
57.9%
43.9%
P3
59.3%
54.3%
OT
73.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |