Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Spaling 50.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 57.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 63.4%
Neutral zone
Spaling 50.7%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Couture
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Couture
Spaling
Last 6: Couture 2-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
3
Couture
Spaling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Couture
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (775)
49.7% (756)
+1.7%
Power Play
59.0% (78)
35.3% (17)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (46)
55.0% (120)
-15.9%
On power play, Couture has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Couture is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Couture shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Couture
Spaling
Home
53.3% (407)
52.1% (476)
Away
49.9% (503)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Couture
Spaling
P1
49.8%
50.4%
P2
53.3%
51.3%
P3
51.2%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |