Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Hendricks wins 62.2% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.4% vs Spaling 51.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 57.5%
Defensive zone
Spaling 52.4%
Neutral zone
Spaling 53.9%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Hendricks
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hendricks
Spaling
Last 5: Hendricks 2-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hendricks
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Spaling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
2
Hendricks
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (329)
52.5% (461)
+7.1%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
66.7% (9)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
46.6% (131)
-2.6%
On power play, Spaling has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Hendricks is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Hendricks shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Spaling
Home
52.4% (233)
57.2% (297)
Away
58.6% (220)
45.7% (304)
By Period
Hendricks
Spaling
P1
55.1%
54.2%
P2
55.2%
46.6%
P3
55.6%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |