Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.1%). Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Sharp 50.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Sharp leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Sharp 83.3%
Defensive zone
Spaling 87.4%
Neutral zone
Sharp 50.2%
Result
Patrick Sharp favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Spaling
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Spaling
Sharp
Last 10: Spaling 6-4 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
2
4
Spaling
Sharp
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
5
0
Spaling
Sharp
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sharp
1
5
Spaling
Sharp
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
50.4% (1,085)
+0.1%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
50.6% (180)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
40.9% (44)
+7.1%
On power play, Sharp has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Sharp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Spaling
Sharp
Home
51.9% (1,437)
53.2% (688)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
46.7% (623)
By Period
Spaling
Sharp
P1
49.8%
48.0%
P2
48.3%
49.1%
P3
52.0%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |