Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Holland 45.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 55.4%
Defensive zone
Holland 56.6%
Neutral zone
Holland 55.7%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Spaling
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Spaling
Holland
Last 7: Spaling 3-4 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
4
Spaling
Holland
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
45.6% (2,232)
+4.9%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
52.4% (126)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
42.3% (137)
+5.7%
On power play, Holland has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Home / Away
Spaling
Holland
Home
51.9% (1,437)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Spaling
Holland
P1
49.8%
46.1%
P2
48.3%
47.3%
P3
52.0%
43.9%
OT
40.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Peter Holland |