Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spaling wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 48.9% vs Rakell 47.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 64.3%
Defensive zone
Spaling 57.1%
Neutral zone
Spaling 61.7%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Spaling
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spaling
Rakell
Last 5: Spaling 3-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Spaling
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
1
Spaling
Rakell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (155)
46.2% (608)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
51.9% (54)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
33.3% (3)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Spaling is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Spaling shoots left. Rakell is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Spaling
Rakell
Home
47.2% (108)
49.3% (335)
Away
50.0% (66)
43.9% (330)
By Period
Spaling
Rakell
P1
43.6%
46.8%
P2
41.9%
45.0%
P3
59.3%
48.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Rakell
24.0%▼
40.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |