Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Rakell 44.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 51.9%
Defensive zone
Spaling 84.1%
Neutral zone
Spaling 62.8%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Spaling
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spaling
Rakell
Last 5: Spaling 3-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Spaling
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
1
Spaling
Rakell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
44.4% (1,864)
+6.1%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
50.3% (197)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
21.7% (23)
+26.3%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,334).
Home / Away
Spaling
Rakell
Home
51.9% (1,437)
46.7% (1,041)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
42.7% (1,044)
By Period
Spaling
Rakell
P1
49.8%
45.6%
P2
48.3%
42.1%
P3
52.0%
46.4%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |