Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Rakell 45.2% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 52.0%
Defensive zone
Spaling 85.8%
Neutral zone
Spaling 66.8%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Spaling
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spaling
Rakell
Last 5: Spaling 3-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Spaling
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
1
Spaling
Rakell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
44.7% (1,763)
+5.8%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
51.2% (172)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
22.7% (22)
+25.3%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Rakell is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,258).
Home / Away
Spaling
Rakell
Home
51.9% (1,437)
46.7% (984)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
43.2% (974)
By Period
Spaling
Rakell
P1
49.8%
45.7%
P2
48.3%
42.3%
P3
52.0%
47.0%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Rakell
24.0%▼
40.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |