Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.1%). Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Sheahan 50.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 53.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 51.3%
Neutral zone
Spaling 54.6%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Spaling
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Spaling
Sheahan
Last 10: Spaling 8-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Sheahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Sheahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
5
1
Spaling
Sheahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
51.0% (4,968)
-0.5%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
55.6% (322)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
44.3% (1,068)
+3.7%
On power play, Sheahan has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Spaling
Sheahan
Home
51.9% (1,437)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Spaling
Sheahan
P1
49.8%
51.3%
P2
48.3%
51.2%
P3
52.0%
48.1%
OT
40.0%
35.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 08:49 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |