Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.8%). Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 55.9%
Defensive zone
Spaling 64.6%
Neutral zone
Spaling 53.8%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Spaling
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Spaling
Getzlaf
Last 8: Spaling 3-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Spaling
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spaling
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Spaling
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
49.6% (10,258)
+0.9%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
54.9% (1,381)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
44.8% (1,055)
+3.2%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Spaling
Getzlaf
Home
51.9% (1,437)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Spaling
Getzlaf
P1
49.8%
49.2%
P2
48.3%
50.4%
P3
52.0%
49.7%
OT
40.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |