Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Johansen 53.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 21-6 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 55.3%
Defensive zone
Spaling 83.6%
Neutral zone
Spaling 70.5%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Spaling
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
21
(27 meetings)
6
21
Spaling
Johansen
Last 10: Spaling 1-9 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
12
Spaling
Johansen
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Spaling
Johansen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
5
Spaling
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.6%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
56.2% (2,163)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
50.5% (978)
-2.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Spaling
Johansen
Home
51.9% (1,437)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Spaling
Johansen
P1
49.8%
53.2%
P2
48.3%
53.9%
P3
52.0%
52.8%
OT
40.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |