Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Crosby 53.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 68.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 78.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Spaling
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Spaling
Crosby
Last 10: Spaling 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
4
2
Spaling
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
5
1
Spaling
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Spaling
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
52.8% (17,990)
-2.3%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
57.4% (4,733)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
47.1% (765)
+0.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Spaling
Crosby
Home
51.9% (1,437)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Spaling
Crosby
P1
49.8%
53.6%
P2
48.3%
53.9%
P3
52.0%
53.3%
OT
40.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |