Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Suzuki 46.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.0%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 66.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 66.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Wheeler
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Wheeler
Suzuki
Last 8: Wheeler 1-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
5
Wheeler
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Wheeler
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
46.6% (582)
+4.0%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
45.0% (60)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
41.2% (17)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Wheeler has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Wheeler is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Wheeler shoots right. Suzuki is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Suzuki
Home
52.8% (352)
46.0% (350)
Away
46.3% (300)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Wheeler
Suzuki
P1
46.8%
47.6%
P2
57.7%
45.7%
P3
44.8%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
43.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |