Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 77.3%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 74.9%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 79.0%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Barbashev
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barbashev
Suzuki
Last 5: Barbashev 1-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Barbashev
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Barbashev
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
50.3% (1,075)
-12.4%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
49.3% (219)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
43.1% (116)
-2.4%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Suzuki
Home
45.3% (137)
53.6% (711)
Away
36.1% (191)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Barbashev
Suzuki
P1
41.8%
48.5%
P2
43.1%
51.7%
P3
31.9%
49.0%
OT
75.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
37.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |