Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 75.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 91.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Toews
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Toews
Suzuki
Last 9: Toews 8-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
50.3% (1,075)
+7.7%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
49.3% (219)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
43.1% (116)
+8.6%
On power play, Toews has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Toews
Suzuki
Home
59.3% (637)
53.6% (711)
Away
58.7% (699)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Toews
Suzuki
P1
61.5%
48.5%
P2
55.2%
51.7%
P3
60.0%
49.0%
OT
70.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
57.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |