Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 24-15 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 84.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 71.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Suzuki
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
24
(39 meetings)
15
24
Suzuki
Stastny
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
9
Suzuki
Stastny
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
9
Suzuki
Stastny
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
6
Suzuki
Stastny
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (6,124)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.7% (1,285)
59.1% (1,994)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (454)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Suzuki is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,694).
Suzuki shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stastny
Home
50.9% (3,880)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.5% (3,983)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Suzuki
Stastny
P1
48.5%
56.3%
P2
49.0%
55.4%
P3
50.3%
53.5%
OT
43.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |