Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Stastny 55.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 54.7%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 56.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Suzuki
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Suzuki
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Suzuki
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Suzuki
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
59.2% (370)
-8.9%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
40.9% (44)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
51.7% (58)
-8.6%
On even strength, Stastny has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Suzuki shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stastny
Home
53.6% (711)
57.7% (215)
Away
45.5% (699)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Suzuki
Stastny
P1
48.5%
57.7%
P2
51.7%
54.2%
P3
49.0%
57.7%
OT
43.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |