Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Holmberg 49.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.1%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 84.8%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 66.8%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Suzuki
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Suzuki
Holmberg
Last 9: Suzuki 3-6 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
4
Suzuki
Holmberg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Holmberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
49.0% (245)
+3.4%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
33.3% (3)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
48.6% (37)
-12.2%
On power play, Suzuki has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Holmberg is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Holmberg
Home
53.2% (645)
50.3% (147)
Away
50.1% (673)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Suzuki
Holmberg
P1
48.9%
59.2%
P2
51.5%
40.0%
P3
54.9%
46.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |